TRAU vs Churchill Brothers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
64.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
13º
13º
33
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
86.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
97.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TRAU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 2
NER
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
NER
1 - 0
TRA
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 2
RAJ
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 2
TRA
16%
17%
67%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
KAS
6 - 3
TRA
27%
20%
53%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Churchill Brothers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AIZ
4 - 0
CHU
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SDF
2 - 2
CHU
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
MOH
3 - 2
CHU
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
NER
2 - 3
CHU
13%
21%
65%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 1
SHI
72%
18%
11%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |