Trastevere vs Muravera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 0
TRA
30%
23%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 2
RIE
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AST
0 - 2
TRA
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 2
GRO
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAS
20%
23%
58%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 4
MUR
57%
21%
21%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 1
SAN
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
MUR
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |