Trastevere vs Latte Dolce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 0
BOR
89%
8%
3%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CSO
3 - 2
TRA
29%
25%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
BUD
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
1 - 1
TRA
7%
14%
79%
|
42 | 9 | 33 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 3
OST
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Latte Dolce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ULD
0 - 1
SSC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
0 - 1
ULD
11%
18%
71%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ULD
2 - 0
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 0
ULD
79%
15%
5%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ULD
4 - 2
CSO
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |