Trastevere vs Herculaneum 1924 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ANZ
0 - 1
TRA
26%
26%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
RPO
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 3
TRA
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
NOC
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 1
TRA
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Herculaneum 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AVH
1 - 1
SSE
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CYN
2 - 0
AVH
19%
21%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AVH
0 - 0
SSM
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
AVH
0 - 1
FBC
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
AVH
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |