Trastevere vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 3
TRA
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 2
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
FLA
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALB
3 - 1
TRA
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SFF
1 - 3
TRA
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
APR
3 - 0
OST
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIS
3 - 1
APR
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
APR
2 - 0
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
BUD
1 - 2
APR
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
APR
4 - 2
ALB
20%
23%
57%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |