Trastevere vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
TRA
0 - 2
NOC
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
NAR
46%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CYN
1 - 2
TRA
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 2
SSM
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FBC
1 - 0
TRA
35%
27%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
USA
2 - 1
REG
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
REG
2 - 2
LIV
34%
28%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 2
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
JUS
0 - 0
REG
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
REG
2 - 1
JUS
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |