Trasandino vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
SAU
1 - 1
TRA
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
1 - 1
LIM
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
TRA
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 3
CON
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 1
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
ROD
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 1
SAN
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 0
LAU
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JOA
0 - 2
SAN
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAU
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |