Trasandino vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
34.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
14º
11º
33
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 3
REN
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
TRA
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 4
CDM
25%
26%
48%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
LIM
20%
26%
53%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
TRA
43%
24%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FVC
1 - 1
OVA
50%
27%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
OVA
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
4 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ACC
2 - 1
OVA
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |