Trasandino vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
14º
10º
8
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 1
TRA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REN
1 - 0
TRA
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 2
CDP
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CDM
3 - 1
TRA
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 0
TRA
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FVC
2 - 1
CDP
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
FVC
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 0
FVC
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FVC
2 - 0
LAU
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 2
FVC
14%
19%
67%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |