Trasandino vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
14º
9º
48
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trasandino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
LIM
20%
26%
53%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
TRA
43%
24%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
GVE
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
SAU
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 2
TRA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
CON
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GVE
1 - 1
CDM
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDM
4 - 1
REN
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
CDM
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
IBE
2 - 3
CDM
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |