Trapani vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 3
TRA
19%
25%
57%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
TRA
4 - 0
REN
80%
15%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
AKR
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BIS
0 - 3
TRA
13%
22%
65%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 3
FCC
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
AKR
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
JUS
1 - 1
FRA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 0
FCC
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SIR
1 - 0
FRA
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
BIS
2 - 0
FRA
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |