Supercoppa di Serie C Final
Global 3-3
Trapani vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRA
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
USC
3 - 4
TRA
45%
26%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TRA
2 - 2
REG
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ABN
1 - 1
TRA
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
TRA
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRA
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 3
PIS
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 1
AVE
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AVE
4 - 0
ASA
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LAT
2 - 1
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |