Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Trapani vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 2
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FCC
6 - 3
TRA
35%
27%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -4 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
PAG
78%
15%
7%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
REN
0 - 1
TRA
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
RPO
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 2
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 1
RPO
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
RPO
1 - 1
CAT
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
CAT
4 - 1
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 1
RIE
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |