Trapani vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
4 - 0
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
EMP
1 - 1
TRA
64%
21%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
TRA
2 - 2
PES
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 2
TRA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CES
4 - 1
CAR
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CES
0 - 1
VIR
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |