CONCACAF Champions Cup Final
Global 2-4
Transvaal vs Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
51.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Transvaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1974 |
MUN
2 - 1
TRA
83%
11%
7%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
AUR
0 - 2
TRA
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 1968 |
TRA
1 - 1
AUR
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1974 |
MUN
2 - 1
TRA
83%
11%
7%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |