Narva Trans vs Viljandi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 1
SIK
58%
21%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
PAI
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 0
TRA
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 5
SHA
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Viljandi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
6 - 0
KUR
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 2
TAM
47%
23%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SIK
2 - 2
VIL
76%
15%
8%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
VIL
6 - 1
NOO
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |