Narva Trans vs Tammeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
10º
5º
32
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 74 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 68 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 66 |
4º
|
67% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
TRA
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
6 - 0
TRA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
TRA
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LAH
0 - 4
TRA
15%
19%
66%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
BFC
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 0
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 1
TAM
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 3
FSM
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 2
TAM
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 3
FKT
27%
22%
51%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |