Narva Trans vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
VFC
0 - 5
TRA
6%
12%
82%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
KAL
3 - 0
TRA
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 0
KUR
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
4 - 0
PAI
63%
18%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 0
TJK
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
TAL
6 - 3
NOM
10%
13%
77%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
PAI
4 - 0
TAL
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
TAL
0 - 3
FLO
1%
7%
93%
|
43 | 81 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
KUR
2 - 2
TAL
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
TAL
0 - 2
TUL
42%
24%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |