Narva Trans vs Tallinna Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
TUL
1 - 2
TRA
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
TRA
3 - 1
TAM
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
KAL
1 - 2
TRA
44%
23%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRA
0 - 3
LEV
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SIK
2 - 1
TRA
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
TAL
0 - 0
PAI
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
KUR
0 - 1
TAL
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TAL
0 - 2
FLO
9%
17%
74%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TAL
1 - 1
SIK
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
TUL
2 - 1
TAL
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |