Narva Trans vs Starmedia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
TAM
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 1
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
7 - 0
ARU
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 7 | 55 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
3 - 1
TRA
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Starmedia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
POL
0 - 3
TSA
69%
17%
15%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
TSA
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TSA
15 - 0
LJK
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +3 |