Narva Trans vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
TAM
1 - 1
TRA
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TRA
1 - 0
PAI
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 1
TRA
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
TRA
0 - 1
FLO
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
TIN
4 - 0
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
SIK
6 - 1
JOH
81%
14%
6%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 6
SIK
11%
20%
69%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SIK
3 - 1
PAI
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
KAL
1 - 0
SIK
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SIK
1 - 2
FLO
31%
24%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |