Narva Trans vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
FLO
26%
23%
52%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 1
TAM
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FLO
2 - 1
TRA
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 2
SIK
66%
19%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
KAL
4 - 1
TRA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
SIK
25%
23%
53%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SIK
2 - 0
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TRA
0 - 2
SIK
66%
19%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
SIK
0 - 2
KAL
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAI
1 - 1
SIK
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |