Narva Trans vs Sillamäe Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FLO
2 - 1
TRA
67%
18%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 0
TAL
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
TAL
2 - 0
TRA
13%
19%
69%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
TRA
0 - 2
FLO
34%
24%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
SIK
4 - 4
TRA
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sillamäe Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SIK
2 - 1
KAL
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
TAM
0 - 2
SIK
48%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
SIK
2 - 1
TAM
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
KAL
2 - 2
SIK
62%
20%
19%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
TFS
0 - 4
SIK
51%
23%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |