Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-6
Narva Trans vs Rudar Velenje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 0
KUR
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2009 |
FLO
1 - 1
TRA
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TRA
3 - 1
TAL
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
TUL
1 - 2
TRA
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2009 |
TRA
3 - 1
TAM
83%
13%
5%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Rudar Velenje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
NKN
0 - 1
RUD
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
RUD
2 - 2
DOM
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
NKD
2 - 0
RUD
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
RUD
1 - 1
NKP
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
RUD
0 - 0
FCK
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |