Narva Trans vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
KUR
0 - 3
TRA
27%
22%
51%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 1
TRA
42%
25%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
KAD
0 - 7
TRA
5%
11%
85%
|
59 | 16 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
4 - 1
TUL
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEV
6 - 1
TRA
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
PAI
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
KAL
4 - 0
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
33 | 77 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 4
LEV
6%
15%
78%
|
33 | 77 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
TJK
3 - 0
PAR
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 4
TAL
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |