Narva Trans vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAI
1 - 2
TRA
45%
23%
33%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 0
TUL
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LEV
0 - 1
TRA
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
TUL
2 - 3
TRA
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
TRA
12 - 0
IMA
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
TUL
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
TAM
0 - 1
PAR
45%
22%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
KAL
12%
20%
68%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
TAM
57%
20%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TUL
1 - 2
PAR
44%
23%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |