Narva Trans vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
10º
5º
56
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 44.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 55.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KUR
5 - 0
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
4 - 3
TRA
79%
14%
6%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 0
NOM
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 5
TAM
35%
26%
38%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
TAM
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 3
PAI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 1
PAI
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 0
KUR
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
KUR
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |