Narva Trans vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
TUL
1 - 0
TRA
12%
19%
70%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
TRA
0 - 1
LEV
32%
24%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 1
KAL
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TRA
2 - 0
FCT
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 13 | 53 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
TAM
1 - 4
TRA
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
KUR
1 - 0
PAI
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PAI
2 - 1
WAR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FLO
2 - 3
PAI
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
PAI
3 - 1
TVM
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
KIV
1 - 1
PAI
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |