Narva Trans vs Paide III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
2 - 0
TJK
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 2
TRA
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
TUL
0 - 1
TRA
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 0
PAI
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 1
TRA
79%
13%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Paide III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
PAI
7 - 0
JKJ
90%
7%
3%
|
49 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 0
TUL
94%
5%
2%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
HJP
1 - 3
PAI
43%
23%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
PAI
7 - 1
PAR
94%
5%
1%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
PAI
3 - 0
KUR
89%
7%
3%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |