UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 4-11
Narva Trans vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BEO
6 - 1
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
TRA
1 - 2
TVM
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
TRA
1 - 2
LEV
83%
12%
6%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2003 |
TRA
1 - 0
LEV
33%
24%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
FLO
2 - 2
TRA
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BEO
6 - 1
TRA
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
RAD
2 - 2
BEO
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
BEO
4 - 0
VOJ
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
RUD
0 - 1
BEO
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BEO
0 - 2
PAR
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |