Narva Trans vs Nõmme United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
10º
6º
15
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 5
TAM
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
TRA
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
6 - 0
TRA
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
TRA
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LAH
0 - 4
TRA
15%
19%
66%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 0
KAL
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
NOM
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
NOM
57%
21%
21%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 1
NOM
22%
19%
60%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 0
RIG
53%
20%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |