Narva Trans vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
57%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
10º
6º
49
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 84 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 69 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 68 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 68 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 34 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 34 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 25 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 67.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 30% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 2
TRA
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 3
TRA
68%
18%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 3
FLO
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
NOM
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 2
KAL
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 0
KUR
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
KAL
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 1
KAL
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |