Narva Trans vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
TJK
1 - 0
TRA
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LEV
6 - 0
TRA
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 1
KUR
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
KAL
3 - 0
TRA
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 1
LEV
12%
20%
68%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
KAL
3 - 1
TAM
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
KAL
10%
19%
71%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
KAL
3 - 0
TJK
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
KAL
3 - 0
TRA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 1
KAL
20%
24%
57%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |