Narva Trans vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
66.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SIK
2 - 1
TRA
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
TRA
4 - 2
TAM
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LEV
5 - 0
TRA
79%
15%
7%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
TRA
3 - 1
LEV
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +3 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 2
TRA
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 5
KAL
11%
21%
68%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
KAL
0 - 3
LEV
40%
25%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FLO
1 - 1
KAL
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KAL
3 - 3
FLO
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 2
KAL
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |