Narva Trans vs Navi Vutiselts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
+5
10.3%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
6.7%
1.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
4 - 0
KUR
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 0
TRA
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
14 - 0
AJA
86%
11%
3%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 4
TRA
16%
22%
61%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
7 - 0
TJK
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Navi Vutiselts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VIS
0 - 2
NAV
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
NAV
0 - 1
RAP
28%
24%
49%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |