Narva Trans vs Lootus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LEV
0 - 1
TRA
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
FLO
1 - 3
TRA
75%
15%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAR
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TRA
3 - 1
WAR
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 3
TRA
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lootus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 2
WAR
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TUL
5 - 0
LOT
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 6
FLO
8%
16%
76%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
TVM
13 - 0
LOT
88%
9%
3%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
LOT
0 - 3
TRA
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |