Narva Trans vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
10º
6º
70
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
6 - 1
TSA
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 14 | 50 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
TAM
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KUR
0 - 1
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
7 - 0
ARU
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KUR
3 - 4
FLO
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 1
LEV
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLO
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
NOM
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 2
VIK
46%
23%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |