Narva Trans vs FC Flora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
67.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
10º
5º
58
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 72 |
2º
|
70% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 68 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 67 |
4º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 43 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 40 |
6º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 36 |
7º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 30 |
9º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 61% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 39% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAI
13%
24%
64%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
KUR
5 - 0
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 0
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 3
FLO
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KUR
2 - 2
FLO
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 2
KAL
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |