Narva Trans vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
TAM
1 - 4
TRA
16%
22%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
7 - 0
TJK
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
TRA
3 - 0
PAI
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
LEV
1 - 1
TRA
65%
20%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2011 |
TAH
2 - 4
TRA
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 24 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 6
PAI
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
FLO
13 - 1
AJA
89%
9%
3%
|
39 | 77 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 6
KUR
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 4
VIL
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
KAL
3 - 0
AJA
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |