EFL Cup 1/64
Global 4-0
Tranmere Rovers vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
WOL
2 - 0
TRA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
TRA
2 - 1
WOL
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1998 |
TRA
3 - 3
SHE
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
CHA
2 - 0
TRA
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
OXF
1 - 1
TRA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1998 |
CUM
1 - 0
BHA
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1998 |
LUT
3 - 2
CUM
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
CUM
1 - 2
YOR
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1998 |
CUM
0 - 1
GRI
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
CUM
3 - 1
OLD
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |