Tranmere Rovers vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
TRA
4 - 1
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
STO
2 - 3
TRA
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
TRA
3 - 1
MAN
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
TRA
4 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 1
TRA
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
SWA
4 - 2
BCF
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
BCF
0 - 3
WRE
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SOU
1 - 2
BCF
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
BCF
0 - 0
SCU
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
ROC
1 - 2
BCF
50%
25%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |