FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Tranmere Rovers vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
TRA
2 - 0
SOU
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
LEY
2 - 1
TRA
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
LEY
0 - 1
TRA
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
TRA
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
TRA
1 - 1
LEY
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 1
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
NOT
0 - 0
ALD
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
0 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 0
BCF
46%
25%
30%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ROT
0 - 0
ALD
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |