FK Riteriai vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
68.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
10º
10º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Riteriai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
PAN
13%
24%
63%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
FAS
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
SUD
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 2
TRA
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
80%
15%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
FTC
3 - 0
ZAL
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 1
DTE
78%
15%
6%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 4
FTC
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
DAI
0 - 2
ZAL
14%
22%
65%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |