FK Riteriai vs FC Hegelmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
7º
10º
10º
59
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Riteriai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
DTE
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
DAI
0 - 1
TRA
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 6
ZAL
11%
21%
68%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
PAN
13%
24%
63%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
FAS
2 - 0
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 0
BAN
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
3 - 1
FAS
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
1 - 1
DTE
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HLI
2 - 0
SUD
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 2
HLI
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |