Trairiense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trairiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
TIR
3 - 1
TRA
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 1
GUA
14%
21%
65%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
TRA
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
CRA
24%
24%
53%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ICA
1 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
HOR
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |