Træff vs Kristiansund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
3º
1º
22
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 65 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 58 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 49 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 47 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 43 |
6º
|
83.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 34 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 25 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 24 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 21 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Træff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SPJ
1 - 2
TRA
17%
22%
61%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
TRA
4 - 0
SKE
90%
8%
3%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 2
TRA
19%
18%
62%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 0
SKJ
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 0
TRA
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kristiansund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BJS
3 - 1
KBK
66%
17%
17%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
KBK
1 - 3
LOR
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
SPJ
4 - 0
KBK
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
KBK
2 - 2
HOD
34%
21%
46%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MOL
5 - 2
KBK
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |