Tractor vs Naft Abadan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
4º
15º
4º
21
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tractor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 0
TRA
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
PAY
61%
24%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
GOH
0 - 1
TRA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 0
FOO
51%
28%
22%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EST
2 - 0
TRA
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Naft Abadan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
ZOB
35%
29%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
SAQ
0 - 0
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
GOH
28%
28%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
AAK
39%
30%
31%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MES
0 - 2
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |