Tractor vs Naft Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tractor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
NAT
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SEP
2 - 0
TRA
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
0 - 1
TRA
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SAB
3 - 0
TRA
22%
27%
51%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -6 |
Matches
Naft Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
NAT
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NAT
1 - 2
SAB
49%
28%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
GOT
0 - 0
NAT
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
NAT
2 - 2
FOO
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SAI
1 - 0
NAT
31%
29%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |