Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
14º
11º
17
13º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 81 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 76 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 61 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 54 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 50 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 49 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 48 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 45 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 36 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
19º
|
5 | 32 |
18º
|
30.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 25 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
BJK
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EYU
0 - 0
TRA
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
STG
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
STG
0 - 0
TRA
47%
23%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
TRA
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KAY
2 - 2
EYU
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KON
0 - 0
KAY
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 2
SIV
39%
25%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 3
SAM
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SIV
2 - 1
KAY
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |