Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
3º
11º
4º
10
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 69 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 68 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
3 | 56 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 53 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 53 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 51 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 51 |
8º
|
3% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 51 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 49 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 48 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 47 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 44 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 43 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
18º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
3% | 12.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 9.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
10.5% | 12% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8.5% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 46.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EYU
0 - 0
TRA
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
STG
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
STG
0 - 0
TRA
47%
23%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
RAP
2 - 0
TRA
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SIV
0 - 0
TRA
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BJK
2 - 0
SIV
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BJK
5 - 1
LUG
47%
23%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 3
BJK
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BJK
4 - 2
ANT
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 2
BJK
37%
26%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |